She is also the daughter of former Vice President Dick Cheney who served in the George W. But Cheney is no ordinary congressperson from a small state that can boast more cattle than people. Liz Cheney, who has been adamant in opposition to the Big Lie and is getting tons of air time as she announces the work of the select committee investigating January 6. (The filing deadline hasn’t passed yet) And in Idaho, Trump has endorsed the lieutenant governor but we don’t yet know what the Republican primary looks like because the current governor hasn’t announced whether he’s running.įinally, until lately, the only high profile opponent to Trump-at least rhetorically-was Rep. In Kansas, the state’s attorney general, Derek Schmidt is a strong candidate with no high-profile opponents so far.
Her candidacy is so strong (for reasons going beyond the Trump endorsement) that she has cleared the Republican primary field. In Arkansas, Trump endorsed Sarah Huckabee Sanders, his former press secretary, and the daughter of a former governor. There are only two states where the entire Republican Party and Donald Trump’s candidates appear to be on the same page. And in Massachusetts, Trump endorsed Geoff Diehl, who has lost so many races in that very blue state that a former Republican party chair said it would be “ foolish” for them to nominate Diehl.Įlaine Kamarck Wednesday, November 3, 2021 In Nebraska, Trump endorsed Charles Herbster and immediately Herbster drew harsh criticism about his business practices from the incumbent Republican governor. Ditto for Dan Cox, the Trump candidate in the Maryland Republican primary who is behind other Republicans in his fundraising. Trump’s choice in Arizona, Kari Lake, is facing a large field of Republican candidates and so far, she’s being out raised. In Georgia, for instance, the incumbent Governor Brian Kemp, who drew Trump’s enmity when he called the state for Biden, has built a sizeable war chest and is running neck and neck or slightly ahead of Trump’s choice, former Sen. Very few of these races are cake walks for the Trump endorsed candidate. If his word was as powerful as he thinks it is, opposition to his candidates should melt away.
For example, Trump has endorsed 12 candidates running in Republican gubernatorial primaries.
Many of the primaries will feature an internal fight between Trump endorsed candidates and more mainstream Republicans. Secondly, Trump’s ability to call the shots in the upcoming Republican primaries is being tested. This data and other related data led Dan Balz, the dean of the Washington Post’s political reporters to ask-“Do Republicans love Trump as they once did?” Balz’s conclusion is a cautious one-“Whether this is the beginning of something genuinely threatening to his standing or a minor hiccup that is of no real consequence is what all those Republicans with an eye on the White House want to know.” When NBC asked the same question in late January 2022, the numbers were evenly divided with 46% saying Trump and 46% saying the Republican Party. In polling done by NBC, they asked a very important question-“Are you more a supporter of Donald Trump than of the Republican Party?” Before the 2020 election, 54% said Trump. Heavy hitters are stepping up to challenge Trump’s version of the election, which has become his dominant message.įirst of all, the number of hard-core Trump voters may be shrinking.In many Republican primaries Trump does not appear able to crown winners simply with his endorsement-his candidates are often in for a fight with other Republicans.The hard-core Trump base appears to be shrinking.But in recent weeks it is possible to see three cracks in what Trump would like to believe is monolithic control over the Republican Party.
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